Friday, February 17, 2017
Match Advice 2/17/17
Hey guys,
I forgot to post yesterday night so I'll just give some quick updates today
My bets today:
Medium North
Small Fnatic
Medium NiP
Small Faze
I forgot to post yesterday night so I'll just give some quick updates today
My bets today:
Medium North
Small Fnatic
Medium NiP
Small Faze
Thursday, February 16, 2017
Update*** 2/16/17 More Dreamhack Matches
Hey guys,
Just wanted to quickly update my bets for today. They won't be really formatted but just some quick thoughts since I'm busy right now.
I've decided to avoid betting on Fnatic because I really don't like the odds and its just not worth it.
I will still be betting small on Fnatic Academy and Team123.
I'm going low on Optic and low on C9.
I'l be skipping Faze vs. Mousesports mainly because Faze look unstable and I don't think Niko will drop 35+ frags again.
In terms of VP vs. Gambit, Gambit looked extremely good yesterday. If you have to, go small on them. Otherwise, just skip.
Just wanted to quickly update my bets for today. They won't be really formatted but just some quick thoughts since I'm busy right now.
I've decided to avoid betting on Fnatic because I really don't like the odds and its just not worth it.
I will still be betting small on Fnatic Academy and Team123.
I'm going low on Optic and low on C9.
I'l be skipping Faze vs. Mousesports mainly because Faze look unstable and I don't think Niko will drop 35+ frags again.
In terms of VP vs. Gambit, Gambit looked extremely good yesterday. If you have to, go small on them. Otherwise, just skip.
Wednesday, February 15, 2017
2/16/17 Match Betting Advice (Dreamhack Las Vegas Day 2)
Hey guys,
Today was a decent day. We won on VP and Optic but lost on Fnatic unfortunately. Still went profitable so not bad. I'm posting these predictions today before odds settle so I won't post current odds but I'll post what I think they'll settle at
Today's Matches
coL vs. North
There is no way coL should win this. They lost 16-5 against Astralis and three of those rounds was the pistol and the following two. The game, in term of inside the rounds, was pretty close as Astralis had only 2 or 3 alive most rounds. North lost to Optic today but they weren't bad today. They just lost crucial force buy rounds and Hiko topfragged for the first time in years.
My bet: If odds are 85 or under for North, large on North
Fnatic Academy vs. Space Soldiers
Fnatic Academy have an okay chance at winning this but I would watch to see the match before to see if Space Soldiers look good with Calyx on the team. If they don't look great vs. Penta, I would go small on Fnatic Academy. The odds should be around 80-20 for SS
My bet: small on Fnatic Academy
Misfits vs. Fnatic
Misfits looked good against VP today but they won both pistols and VP was doing pretty shit as well. Fnatic wasn't bad today. They just played a map that they just didn't really prepare well for. I think Fnatic are still the much better skilled team and there is no way they lose this
My bet: under 85% large on Fnatic
Tyloo vs. NiP
NiP were not hitting shots today and looked terrible against C9. However, Tyloo didn't even seem like they were playing today against SK. I would just skip this game because I heavily favor NiP but I could see a small potential in upset but not enough to put any skins into it
iGame vs Team123
This is probably the best game of the day. Team123 is noted as a heavy underdog for this match but I actually believe that they are the better team. iGame are getting better odds because of their recent string of wins. Team123 was able to beat F3 and Space Soldiers so they should not be underestimated. The map is cache and I don't really know of 123's results on cache so we'll see how that goes.
My bet: small on 123
Today was a decent day. We won on VP and Optic but lost on Fnatic unfortunately. Still went profitable so not bad. I'm posting these predictions today before odds settle so I won't post current odds but I'll post what I think they'll settle at
Today's Matches
coL vs. North
There is no way coL should win this. They lost 16-5 against Astralis and three of those rounds was the pistol and the following two. The game, in term of inside the rounds, was pretty close as Astralis had only 2 or 3 alive most rounds. North lost to Optic today but they weren't bad today. They just lost crucial force buy rounds and Hiko topfragged for the first time in years.
My bet: If odds are 85 or under for North, large on North
Fnatic Academy vs. Space Soldiers
Fnatic Academy have an okay chance at winning this but I would watch to see the match before to see if Space Soldiers look good with Calyx on the team. If they don't look great vs. Penta, I would go small on Fnatic Academy. The odds should be around 80-20 for SS
My bet: small on Fnatic Academy
Misfits vs. Fnatic
Misfits looked good against VP today but they won both pistols and VP was doing pretty shit as well. Fnatic wasn't bad today. They just played a map that they just didn't really prepare well for. I think Fnatic are still the much better skilled team and there is no way they lose this
My bet: under 85% large on Fnatic
Tyloo vs. NiP
NiP were not hitting shots today and looked terrible against C9. However, Tyloo didn't even seem like they were playing today against SK. I would just skip this game because I heavily favor NiP but I could see a small potential in upset but not enough to put any skins into it
iGame vs Team123
This is probably the best game of the day. Team123 is noted as a heavy underdog for this match but I actually believe that they are the better team. iGame are getting better odds because of their recent string of wins. Team123 was able to beat F3 and Space Soldiers so they should not be underestimated. The map is cache and I don't really know of 123's results on cache so we'll see how that goes.
My bet: small on 123
Tuesday, February 14, 2017
2/15/17 Match Betting Advice (Dreamhack Las Vegas)
Hey guys,
This day will be an extremely fruitful betting day because of the abundance of matches on csesport. Yesterday was a bit of a disappointment because the matches I bet on for the most part were cancelled but I did bet on Tengri vs. K29 which was added at the last minute and was able to profit a bit.
Today's Matches:
Vexed vs. Rogue
Current Odds: 22-78
I would just skip this game. I feel like Rogue should take this because the difference in skill between the rosters is outstanding. However, the past h2hs have showed otherwise. In addition, there is a chance for this match to be postponed because of other concurrent tournaments.
iGame vs. Tricked
Current odds: 74-26
This game is the grand final for the hellcase cup, a tournament that most players couldn't give two shits about. Yet i still feel Tricked will win. Past two h2hs have ended 10-16 and 8-16 in favor of Tricked and I just cannot ignore those matches. I've also learned that Tricked tends to lose a lot of games as overdogs and it's best to just skip this game.
Tengri vs. 1337
Current Odds: 62-38
If this match is going to be played, I like the current odds. I feel like because of Tengri's recent success, they're being overrated a bit and 1337 is a team that beat Tengri 80% of the time a month ago.
My bet: If this match doesn't get postponed, small on 1337
Dreamhack Las Vegas Matches:
Astralis vs. Complexity
Match odds: 95-5
Pretty self explanatory. Astralis should not lose this game and it's not really even worth betting on.
North vs Optic
Match odds: 85-15
These match odds haven't stabilized yet and I feel like they will settle around 68-32ish. With North's acquisition of aizy, some say that they are now one of the strongest rosters in the scene. However, I think aizy taking the spot of Rubino actually hurts them. While aizy is more of an entry and hard fragger, Rubino was a support player and able to utilize his utility to assist the team. People forget that aizy was on a similar danish roster before and it was not greatly successful. Optic acquiring Hiko is also a downgrade. Now NAF is igling and as one of the solid fraggers and clutchers of Optic, I'm not sure how it will affect him performance. This being a bo1, I can't help but bet Optic because I feel like they have a solid chance in this match
My bet: small on Optic
Virtus Pro vs. Misfits
Odds: 80-20
Another match that seems like it will be a blowout. VP are known to stomp NA teams on LAN and Misfits will be no exception considering they can't even beat t2-t3 NA opposition.
My bet: Medium VP if odds stay under 85 for VP. Above that, skip.
Fnatic vs. Gambit
Match odds: 56-44
This is going to be a very interesting match. Fnatic has returned to their old, relatively successful roster while Gambit has been producing very good results (becoming Legends at ELeague) and some good online results recently as well. The odds will probably stabilize at like 62-38 and I will be betting Fnatic because I have a heavy feeling that they will start off this tournament with a bang.
My bet: small-medium on fnatic
SK Gaming vs. Tyloo
Match odds: 92-8
Odds seem pretty accurate. I see no way for Tyloo to beat SK. However these odds are too high for a bet on SK, so I will be skipping.
Good luck betting today guys!
This day will be an extremely fruitful betting day because of the abundance of matches on csesport. Yesterday was a bit of a disappointment because the matches I bet on for the most part were cancelled but I did bet on Tengri vs. K29 which was added at the last minute and was able to profit a bit.
Today's Matches:
Vexed vs. Rogue
Current Odds: 22-78
I would just skip this game. I feel like Rogue should take this because the difference in skill between the rosters is outstanding. However, the past h2hs have showed otherwise. In addition, there is a chance for this match to be postponed because of other concurrent tournaments.
iGame vs. Tricked
Current odds: 74-26
This game is the grand final for the hellcase cup, a tournament that most players couldn't give two shits about. Yet i still feel Tricked will win. Past two h2hs have ended 10-16 and 8-16 in favor of Tricked and I just cannot ignore those matches. I've also learned that Tricked tends to lose a lot of games as overdogs and it's best to just skip this game.
Tengri vs. 1337
Current Odds: 62-38
If this match is going to be played, I like the current odds. I feel like because of Tengri's recent success, they're being overrated a bit and 1337 is a team that beat Tengri 80% of the time a month ago.
My bet: If this match doesn't get postponed, small on 1337
Dreamhack Las Vegas Matches:
Astralis vs. Complexity
Match odds: 95-5
Pretty self explanatory. Astralis should not lose this game and it's not really even worth betting on.
North vs Optic
Match odds: 85-15
These match odds haven't stabilized yet and I feel like they will settle around 68-32ish. With North's acquisition of aizy, some say that they are now one of the strongest rosters in the scene. However, I think aizy taking the spot of Rubino actually hurts them. While aizy is more of an entry and hard fragger, Rubino was a support player and able to utilize his utility to assist the team. People forget that aizy was on a similar danish roster before and it was not greatly successful. Optic acquiring Hiko is also a downgrade. Now NAF is igling and as one of the solid fraggers and clutchers of Optic, I'm not sure how it will affect him performance. This being a bo1, I can't help but bet Optic because I feel like they have a solid chance in this match
My bet: small on Optic
Virtus Pro vs. Misfits
Odds: 80-20
Another match that seems like it will be a blowout. VP are known to stomp NA teams on LAN and Misfits will be no exception considering they can't even beat t2-t3 NA opposition.
My bet: Medium VP if odds stay under 85 for VP. Above that, skip.
Fnatic vs. Gambit
Match odds: 56-44
This is going to be a very interesting match. Fnatic has returned to their old, relatively successful roster while Gambit has been producing very good results (becoming Legends at ELeague) and some good online results recently as well. The odds will probably stabilize at like 62-38 and I will be betting Fnatic because I have a heavy feeling that they will start off this tournament with a bang.
My bet: small-medium on fnatic
SK Gaming vs. Tyloo
Match odds: 92-8
Odds seem pretty accurate. I see no way for Tyloo to beat SK. However these odds are too high for a bet on SK, so I will be skipping.
Good luck betting today guys!
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