2/15/17 Match Betting Advice (Dreamhack Las Vegas)

Hey guys,

This day will be an extremely fruitful betting day because of the abundance of matches on csesport. Yesterday was a bit of a disappointment because the matches I bet on for the most part were cancelled but I did bet on Tengri vs. K29 which was added at the last minute and was able to profit a bit.

Today's Matches:

Vexed vs. Rogue

Current Odds: 22-78

I would just skip this game. I feel like Rogue should take this because the difference in skill between the rosters is outstanding. However, the past h2hs have showed otherwise. In addition, there is a chance for this match to be postponed because of other concurrent tournaments.

iGame vs. Tricked

Current odds: 74-26

This game is the grand final for the hellcase cup, a tournament that most players couldn't give two shits about. Yet i still feel Tricked will win. Past two h2hs have ended 10-16 and 8-16 in favor of Tricked and I just cannot ignore those matches. I've also learned that Tricked tends to lose a lot of games as overdogs and it's best to just skip this game.

Tengri vs. 1337

Current Odds: 62-38

If this match is going to be played, I like the current odds. I feel like because of Tengri's recent success, they're being overrated a bit and 1337 is a team that beat Tengri 80% of the time a month ago.

My bet: If this match doesn't get postponed, small on 1337

Dreamhack Las Vegas Matches:

Astralis vs. Complexity

Match odds: 95-5

Pretty self explanatory. Astralis should not lose this game and it's not really even worth betting on.

North vs Optic

Match odds: 85-15

These match odds haven't stabilized yet and I feel like they will settle around 68-32ish. With North's acquisition of aizy, some say that they are now one of the strongest rosters in the scene. However, I think aizy taking the spot of Rubino actually hurts them. While aizy is more of an entry and hard fragger, Rubino was a support player and able to utilize his utility to assist the team. People forget that aizy was on a similar danish roster before and it was not greatly successful. Optic acquiring Hiko is also a downgrade. Now NAF is igling and as one of the solid fraggers and clutchers of Optic, I'm not sure how it will affect him performance. This being a bo1, I can't help but bet Optic because I feel like they have a solid chance in this match

My bet: small on Optic

Virtus Pro vs. Misfits

Odds: 80-20

Another match that seems like it will be a blowout. VP are known to stomp NA teams on LAN and Misfits will be no exception considering they can't even beat t2-t3 NA opposition.

My bet: Medium VP if odds stay under 85 for VP. Above that, skip.

Fnatic vs. Gambit

Match odds: 56-44

This is going to be a very interesting match. Fnatic has returned to their old, relatively successful roster while Gambit has been producing very good results (becoming Legends at ELeague) and some good online results recently as well. The odds will probably stabilize at like 62-38 and I will be betting Fnatic because I have a heavy feeling that they will start off this tournament with a bang.

My bet: small-medium on fnatic

SK Gaming vs. Tyloo 

Match odds: 92-8

Odds seem pretty accurate. I see no way for Tyloo to beat SK. However these odds are too high for a bet on SK, so I will be skipping.

Good luck betting today guys!